China's Economy: by Shaw Capital Management Korea - China will continue fiscal stimulus spending and its current monetary policies this year as the country has, in the opinion of the Chinese Communist Party, not fully recovered from the economic downturn.
The Chinese economy grew 8.7% in 2009, and will expand 8.5% in 2010. The consumer price index rose 1.5% in January from a year earlier, slowing from a 1.9% rise in December.
According to the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, the currentaccount surplus dropped to $284 billion, down by about a third from $426 billion for 2008, which was a record. It is the first decline in the currentaccount balance since 2001.
Shaw Capital Management Korea - China's exports fell last year as global demand collapsed, but the nation's stimulus plan helped support imports. China now accounts for more than 9% of global exports, a share that has been rising since the outbreak of the financial crisis and the ensuing collapse in global trade. China's government says it isn't banking on an export-driven future and has tried, though so far without much success, to shift the emphasis of the economy to domestic consumption and services.
According to International Monetary Fund projections, if current trends continue, China's share of world exports will reach 12% by 2014, a higher portion than Japan managed at the peak of its dominance in the 1980s. China's trade deficit with the US totalled $226.83 billion in 2009 — the U.S.'s largest imbalance with any nation. Mr. Obama has promised to the Congress to "get much tougher" with China on trade rules, including currency rates,
to ensure that U.S. goods are not at a competitive disadvantage.
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